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Red104
1058423.6
36558.7
4118.7
Blue102
45759.6
511322.2
260768.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133139050100200250300104102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+2Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points20
20Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +5
15Coral scored#14
54Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
68Total teleop63
Reef
8L4#7
5L3#4
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
104Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#5
58.71.6
71.469.7
Auto14.4
Teleop37.6
End6.6
blue by 9.8
2607
#10
68.51.8
77.775.9
Auto18.0
Teleop42.1
End8.4
Second
23.61.6
23.922.3
Auto7.2
Teleop13.7
End2.8
red by 1.4
22.21.8
24.622.9
Auto4.2
Teleop12.5
End5.5
Third
41
#12
18.71.6
21.419.8
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End0.9
red by 9.0
4575
#27
9.61.8
20.318.5
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
27%Coral oddsMissed50%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned