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Qual 32025 Duel on the Delaware
Red57
164046.1
201628.5
31654.7
Blue85
901554.4
741437.6
777014.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions179136501002002503003505785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+38
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +1
3Leave9
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points8
16Total auto17
TeleoperatedBlue +37
5Coral scored#12
19Coral points44
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
0Processor points12
8Net points8
8Algae points20
27Total teleop64
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
57Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#13
54.76.6
62.7→56.2
Auto16.2
Teleop34.7
End3.8
red by 0.3
9015
#6
54.42.7
56.9→54.2
Auto15.3
Teleop37.0
End2.1
Second
1640
#20
46.16.6
58.3→51.7
Auto10.8
Teleop27.8
End7.7
red by 8.4
7414
#8
37.62.7
47.4→44.7
Auto6.9
Teleop27.4
End3.3
Third
2016
#24
28.56.6
34.3→27.8
Auto3.2
Teleop23.1
End2.3
red by 14.1
7770
#22
14.32.7
21.2→18.5
Auto4.2
Teleop9.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
48%Coral oddsMissed38%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed