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Red149
159933.2
190848.1
901554.4
Blue35
777014.3
409924.0
1058423.6
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1366705010015020025014935

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+104Teleop
+114Endgame
+114Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave0
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points12
29Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +87
18Coral scored#4
64Coral points15
3Processor algae#0
6Net algae#1
18Processor points0
24Net points4
42Algae points4
106Total teleop19
Reef
8L4#2
5L3#2
5L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
31Game pieces#7
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +114
0Foul points0
149Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.42.1
46.548.6
Auto15.3
Teleop37.0
End2.1
red by 30.4
4099
#28
24.02.3
27.024.7
Auto5.7
Teleop17.4
End1.0
Second
48.12.1
44.646.7
Auto8.2
Teleop32.5
End7.6
red by 24.5
23.62.3
25.723.4
Auto7.2
Teleop13.7
End2.8
Third
1599
#18
33.22.1
26.328.4
Auto6.0
Teleop20.1
End7.1
red by 18.9
7770
#22
14.32.3
16.814.5
Auto4.2
Teleop9.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed