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Red157
36558.7
249528.7
164046.1
Blue206
4118.7
48455.8
694104.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15620250100250157206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+47
Endgame+49
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave3
7Coral scored#10
37Coral points51
40Total auto54
TeleoperatedBlue +33
21Coral scored#26
75Coral points92
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#8
12Processor points12
16Net points32
28Algae points44
103Total teleop136
Reef
10L4#14
7L3#10
7L2#6
4L1 · trough#6
34Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points0
157Total score206

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#5
58.70.6
62.663.2
Auto14.4
Teleop37.6
End6.6
blue by 46.0
694
#1
104.71.3
102.7104.1
Auto26.9
Teleop63.9
End13.9
Second
1640
#20
46.10.6
45.946.5
Auto10.8
Teleop27.8
End7.7
blue by 9.7
484
#4
55.81.3
55.456.7
Auto17.2
Teleop32.9
End5.7
Third
2495
#17
28.70.6
27.728.4
Auto6.5
Teleop21.0
End1.3
red by 10.0
41
#12
18.71.3
16.818.1
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
62%Coral oddsEarned63%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned