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Red147
260768.5
999110.3
34180.7
Blue160
313643.4
741437.6
533848.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181142050100200250300350147160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+15
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave9
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points25
23Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +4
22Coral scored#19
80Coral points68
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#8
12Processor points12
16Net points32
28Algae points44
108Total teleop112
Reef
13L4#7
5L3#7
4L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#34
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
147Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#2
80.71.3
79.978.6
Auto12.9
Teleop58.1
End9.7
red by 31.9
5338
#16
48.81.4
47.448.8
Auto10.0
Teleop37.0
End2.0
Second
2607
#10
68.51.3
68.567.2
Auto18.0
Teleop42.1
End8.4
red by 25.0
3136
#19
43.41.4
45.947.4
Auto12.5
Teleop22.9
End8.1
Third
9991
#25
10.32.1
12.410.3
Auto1.8
Teleop7.6
End0.2
blue by 27.3
37.61.4
39.340.7
Auto6.9
Teleop27.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
77%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned