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Red70
237717.3
1058423.6
999216.4
Blue126
31654.7
999022.0
409924.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39117010015020025070126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+36
Endgame+50
Fouls+56
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points14
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +36
9Coral scored#15
31Coral points53
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
45Total teleop81
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#6
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points6
70Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.60.7
25.125.7
Auto7.2
Teleop13.7
End2.8
blue by 31.0
316
#13
54.71.0
52.553.5
Auto16.2
Teleop34.7
End3.8
Second
2377
#21
17.30.7
14.615.2
Auto4.4
Teleop11.1
End2.0
blue by 6.7
4099
#28
24.01.0
26.027.0
Auto5.7
Teleop17.4
End1.0
Third
9992
#29
16.41.1
15.216.3
Auto4.9
Teleop10.5
End0.3
blue by 5.6
9990
#14
22.01.6
20.822.4
Auto3.7
Teleop11.9
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned