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Red146
511322.2
192366.0
253963.5
Blue99
190848.1
201628.5
45759.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1828505010015020025030014699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+39Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave0
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points16
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +18
16Coral scored#15
57Coral points53
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
85Total teleop67
Reef
7L4#7
7L3#5
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#21
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
146Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.00.2
62.262.0
Auto18.9
Teleop44.4
End2.7
red by 17.9
48.11.0
43.644.6
Auto8.2
Teleop32.5
End7.6
Second
2539
#15
63.50.2
64.163.8
Auto13.1
Teleop41.3
End9.3
red by 35.0
2016
#24
28.51.0
27.328.4
Auto3.2
Teleop23.1
End2.3
Third
22.20.2
23.223.0
Auto4.2
Teleop12.5
End5.5
red by 12.6
4575
#27
9.61.0
12.413.5
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
82%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsEarned