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Red108
999317.1
533848.8
121867.0
Blue125
901554.4
48455.8
36558.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14419550100250300108125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+15
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave3
6Coral scored#9
28Coral points44
37Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +5
13Coral scored#13
45Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
67Total teleop72
Reef
9L4#10
5L3#4
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
108Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#11
67.02.0
72.069.9
Auto19.3
Teleop38.8
End9.0
red by 8.4
365
#5
58.73.3
65.962.6
Auto14.4
Teleop37.6
End6.6
Second
5338
#16
48.82.0
49.447.4
Auto10.0
Teleop37.0
End2.0
blue by 7.1
484
#4
55.83.3
58.755.4
Auto17.2
Teleop32.9
End5.7
Third
9993
#26
17.13.4
17.113.7
Auto4.6
Teleop12.8
End-1.0
blue by 37.3
54.43.3
49.846.5
Auto15.3
Teleop37.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned74%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsMissed