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Red131
159933.2
694104.7
777014.3
Blue56
741437.6
4118.7
999216.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1826905010015020025013156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+71Teleop
+81Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave9
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points4
37Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +47
17Coral scored#6
62Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
80Total teleop33
Reef
9L4#3
6L3#2
5L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#9
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
0Foul points6
131Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
104.71.7
104.5102.7
Auto26.9
Teleop63.9
End13.9
red by 67.1
37.62.3
41.739.3
Auto6.9
Teleop27.4
End3.3
Second
1599
#18
33.21.7
28.126.3
Auto6.0
Teleop20.1
End7.1
red by 14.5
41
#12
18.72.3
19.216.8
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End0.9
Third
7770
#22
14.31.7
18.616.8
Auto4.2
Teleop9.4
End0.7
blue by 2.1
9992
#29
16.43.9
19.115.2
Auto4.9
Teleop10.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
47%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed