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Red110
190848.1
237717.3
511322.2
Blue90
999022.0
313643.4
164046.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7914005010020025030011090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+14Teleop
+22Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +24
14Coral scored#11
49Coral points39
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
77Total teleop53
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#4
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#17
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points2
110Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1908
#7Sur
48.12.4
41.243.6
Auto8.2
Teleop32.5
End7.6
red by 2.0
1640
#20
46.12.2
48.145.9
Auto10.8
Teleop27.8
End7.7
Second
22.22.4
20.823.2
Auto4.2
Teleop12.5
End5.5
blue by 21.2
3136
#19
43.42.2
48.145.9
Auto12.5
Teleop22.9
End8.1
Third
2377
#21
17.32.4
12.214.6
Auto4.4
Teleop11.1
End2.0
blue by 4.7
9990
#14
22.03.6
24.420.8
Auto3.7
Teleop11.9
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned