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Red140
249528.7
1058423.6
192366.0
Blue125
253963.5
901554.4
999317.1
35%Model gave it65%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129153050100200250140125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+17Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points23
40Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +3
21Coral scored#20
76Coral points71
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
98Total teleop95
Reef
13L4#8
4L3#8
7L2#3
4L1 · trough#6
33Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
140Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#3Sur
66.01.6
60.662.2
Auto18.9
Teleop44.4
End2.7
red by 2.5
2539
#15
63.50.8
64.964.1
Auto13.1
Teleop41.3
End9.3
Second
2495
#17
28.71.6
26.127.7
Auto6.5
Teleop21.0
End1.3
blue by 25.7
9015
#6Sur
54.40.8
50.649.8
Auto15.3
Teleop37.0
End2.1
Third
23.61.6
23.525.1
Auto7.2
Teleop13.7
End2.8
red by 6.5
9993
#26
17.11.3
18.417.1
Auto4.6
Teleop12.8
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsEarned70%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsMissed