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Red106
45759.6
34180.7
409924.0
Blue129
999110.3
31654.7
121867.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147148110120130140160170106129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+39
Endgame+47
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points21
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +25
14Coral scored#17
50Coral points61
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
60Total teleop85
Reef
7L4#8
5L3#6
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
24Foul points0
106Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#2Sur
80.73.5
83.579.9
Auto12.9
Teleop58.1
End9.7
red by 13.7
1218
#11
67.01.2
73.172.0
Auto19.3
Teleop38.8
End9.0
Second
4099
#28
24.03.5
29.526.0
Auto5.7
Teleop17.4
End1.0
blue by 30.7
316
#13Sur
54.71.2
53.752.5
Auto16.2
Teleop34.7
End3.8
Third
4575
#27
9.63.5
16.012.4
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End0.8
blue by 0.7
9991
#25
10.31.9
14.412.4
Auto1.8
Teleop7.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
47%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned