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Red123
201628.5
999216.4
48455.8
Blue155
190848.1
36558.7
260768.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88219050150200250300123155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+6
Endgame+24
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
3Coral scored#6
17Coral points31
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +8
19Coral scored#13
70Coral points46
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#7
12Processor points12
12Net points28
24Algae points40
94Total teleop86
Reef
9L4#6
7L3#7
2L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points8
123Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
#4
55.80.1
58.658.7
Auto17.2
Teleop32.9
End5.7
blue by 12.7
2607
#10
68.53.8
72.368.5
Auto18.0
Teleop42.1
End8.4
Second
2016
#24
28.50.1
27.227.3
Auto3.2
Teleop23.1
End2.3
blue by 30.2
365
#5
58.73.8
69.765.9
Auto14.4
Teleop37.6
End6.6
Third
9992
#29
16.40.2
18.919.1
Auto4.9
Teleop10.5
End0.3
blue by 31.7
48.13.8
45.041.2
Auto8.2
Teleop32.5
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed78%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed97%Barge oddsEarned