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Red182
192366.0
694104.7
741437.6
Blue122
1058423.6
533848.8
999022.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24881050100150200300350400182122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+60Teleop
+60Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
6Leave3
8Coral scored#4
38Coral points19
44Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +38
26Coral scored#18
94Coral points66
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
122Total teleop84
Reef
11L4#8
9L3#6
8L2#4
6L1 · trough#4
40Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
0Foul points0
182Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
104.73.0
107.5104.5
Auto26.9
Teleop63.9
End13.9
red by 55.9
5338
#16
48.81.2
48.249.4
Auto10.0
Teleop37.0
End2.0
Second
66.03.0
63.660.6
Auto18.9
Teleop44.4
End2.7
red by 42.3
23.61.2
22.323.5
Auto7.2
Teleop13.7
End2.8
Third
37.63.0
44.741.7
Auto6.9
Teleop27.4
End3.3
red by 15.6
9990
#14
22.02.0
22.424.4
Auto3.7
Teleop11.9
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
96%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsEarned