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Red105
121867.0
777014.3
237717.3
Blue112
34180.7
253963.5
249528.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109227050150200250300105112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+7
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points17
34Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +21
12Coral scored#14
43Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
6Processor points6
8Net points20
14Algae points26
57Total teleop78
Reef
6L4#6
6L3#6
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
105Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#11
67.00.1
73.073.1
Auto19.3
Teleop38.8
End9.0
blue by 13.7
341
#2
80.75.2
88.783.5
Auto12.9
Teleop58.1
End9.7
Second
2377
#21
17.30.1
12.112.2
Auto4.4
Teleop11.1
End2.0
blue by 46.2
2539
#15
63.55.2
70.164.9
Auto13.1
Teleop41.3
End9.3
Third
7770
#22
14.30.1
18.518.6
Auto4.2
Teleop9.4
End0.7
blue by 14.4
2495
#17
28.75.2
31.326.1
Auto6.5
Teleop21.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed95%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned