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Red58
409924.0
999110.3
313643.4
Blue67
999317.1
4118.7
201628.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111640501502002503005867

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+3
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +15
3Leave0
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points12
27Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +18
5Coral scored#9
19Coral points31
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
27Total teleop45
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points6
58Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3136
#19
43.43.0
51.148.1
Auto12.5
Teleop22.9
End8.1
red by 15.0
2016
#24
28.50.6
27.827.2
Auto3.2
Teleop23.1
End2.3
Second
4099
#28
24.03.0
32.529.5
Auto5.7
Teleop17.4
End1.0
red by 5.3
41
#12
18.70.6
19.819.2
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End0.9
Third
9991
#25
10.35.0
19.414.4
Auto1.8
Teleop7.6
End0.2
blue by 6.8
9993
#26
17.11.0
19.418.4
Auto4.6
Teleop12.8
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed