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Qual 62025 Duel on the Delaware
Red136
164046.1
260768.5
901554.4
Blue76
31654.7
45759.6
159933.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21010305015025030035013676

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+52Teleop
+60Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
3Leave0
10Coral scored#3
48Coral points16
51Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +17
15Coral scored#11
53Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
71Total teleop54
Reef
8L4#5
10L3#5
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#17
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
0Foul points0
136Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2607
#10
68.53.6
75.9→72.3
Auto18.0
Teleop42.1
End8.4
red by 13.8
316
#13
54.72.5
56.2→53.7
Auto16.2
Teleop34.7
End3.8
Second
9015
#6
54.43.6
54.2→50.6
Auto15.3
Teleop37.0
End2.1
red by 21.2
1599
#18
33.22.5
30.6→28.1
Auto6.0
Teleop20.1
End7.1
Third
1640
#20
46.13.6
51.7→48.1
Auto10.8
Teleop27.8
End7.7
red by 36.5
4575
#27
9.62.5
18.5→16.0
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
90%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsMissed