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Red116
249528.7
999216.4
533848.8
Blue169
121867.0
34180.7
511322.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85222050150200250300350116169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+59
Endgame+73
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave6
5Coral scored#6
23Coral points31
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +45
14Coral scored#18
49Coral points64
1Processor algae#4
4Net algae#7
6Processor points24
16Net points28
22Algae points52
71Total teleop116
Reef
6L4#7
6L3#8
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
20Foul points0
116Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5338
#16
48.81.2
49.448.2
Auto10.0
Teleop37.0
End2.0
blue by 31.9
341
#2
80.72.1
90.788.7
Auto12.9
Teleop58.1
End9.7
Second
2495
#17
28.71.2
32.531.3
Auto6.5
Teleop21.0
End1.3
blue by 38.3
1218
#11
67.02.1
75.173.0
Auto19.3
Teleop38.8
End9.0
Third
9992
#29
16.42.0
20.918.9
Auto4.9
Teleop10.5
End0.3
blue by 5.8
22.22.1
22.920.8
Auto4.2
Teleop12.5
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed83%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed98%Barge oddsEarned