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Red221
249528.7
34180.7
694104.7
Blue147
533848.8
999022.0
313643.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions249111050150200300350221147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+76Teleop
+76Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave6
8Coral scored#3
40Coral points17
40Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +59
34Coral scored#18
121Coral points64
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
12Processor points18
24Net points16
36Algae points34
157Total teleop98
Reef
15L4#9
11L3#4
11L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
50Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +74
0Foul points2
221Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
104.70.1
104.2104.2
Auto26.9
Teleop63.9
End13.9
red by 55.9
5338
#16
48.80.6
48.849.4
Auto10.0
Teleop37.0
End2.0
Second
341
#2
80.70.1
80.280.2
Auto12.9
Teleop58.1
End9.7
red by 37.3
3136
#19
43.40.6
43.544.1
Auto12.5
Teleop22.9
End8.1
Third
2495
#17
28.70.1
28.228.2
Auto6.5
Teleop21.0
End1.3
red by 6.7
9990
#14
22.00.9
22.123.0
Auto3.7
Teleop11.9
End5.6