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Red171
159933.2
901554.4
260768.5
Blue122
190848.1
999216.4
253963.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160133050100200250171122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+45Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
6Coral scored#4
31Coral points20
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +31
23Coral scored#17
84Coral points61
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#2
18Processor points18
16Net points8
34Algae points26
118Total teleop87
Reef
7L4#8
7L3#6
8L2#3
7L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#26
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
171Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2607
#10
68.50.6
64.164.7
Auto18.0
Teleop42.1
End8.4
red by 5.0
2539
#15
63.50.2
63.863.7
Auto13.1
Teleop41.3
End9.3
Second
54.40.6
50.050.6
Auto15.3
Teleop37.0
End2.1
red by 6.3
48.10.2
48.448.3
Auto8.2
Teleop32.5
End7.6
Third
1599
#18
33.20.6
28.829.4
Auto6.0
Teleop20.1
End7.1
red by 16.8
9992
#29
16.40.3
17.016.7
Auto4.9
Teleop10.5
End0.3