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Red71
164046.1
4118.7
511322.2
Blue167
31654.7
201628.5
741437.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9414205020025071167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+19
Teleop+96
Endgame+96
Fouls+96
AutonomousBlue +19
3Leave9
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points22
12Total auto31
TeleoperatedBlue +77
8Coral scored#24
29Coral points86
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#6
12Processor points12
4Net points24
16Algae points36
45Total teleop122
Reef
3L4#11
3L3#9
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#36
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +96
0Foul points0
71Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1640
#20
46.10.4
46.546.1
Auto10.8
Teleop27.8
End7.7
blue by 8.6
316
#13
54.71.1
53.654.7
Auto16.2
Teleop34.7
End3.8
Second
22.20.4
22.622.2
Auto4.2
Teleop12.5
End5.5
blue by 15.4
37.61.1
36.537.6
Auto6.9
Teleop27.4
End3.3
Third
41
#12
18.70.4
19.018.7
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End0.9
blue by 9.8
2016
#24
28.51.1
27.428.5
Auto3.2
Teleop23.1
End2.3