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Red97
313643.4
999022.0
533848.8
Blue115
190848.1
999216.4
253963.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12214205010020025030097115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+22
Endgame+26
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points14
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +25
9Coral scored#15
33Coral points54
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
51Total teleop76
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#6
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +4
12Cage & park16
12Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +18
8Foul points0
97Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5338
#16
48.80.6
49.448.8
Auto10.0
Teleop37.0
End2.0
blue by 14.8
2539
#15
63.50.3
63.763.4
Auto13.1
Teleop41.3
End9.3
Second
3136
#19
43.40.6
44.143.4
Auto12.5
Teleop22.9
End8.1
blue by 4.7
48.10.3
48.348.0
Auto8.2
Teleop32.5
End7.6
Third
9990
#14
22.01.0
23.022.0
Auto3.7
Teleop11.9
End5.6
red by 5.6
9992
#29
16.40.5
16.716.2
Auto4.9
Teleop10.5
End0.3