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Red158
121867.0
1058423.6
192366.0
Blue112
48455.8
409924.0
36558.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17715450100200250158112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+40Teleop
+40Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
8Coral scored#9
40Coral points44
40Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +44
21Coral scored#12
74Coral points44
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
6Processor points0
16Net points8
22Algae points8
96Total teleop52
Reef
14L4#6
8L3#7
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +46
6Foul points0
158Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#11
67.00.1
66.866.7
Auto19.3
Teleop38.8
End9.0
red by 8.4
365
#5
58.70.6
59.458.7
Auto14.4
Teleop37.6
End6.6
Second
66.00.1
65.865.7
Auto18.9
Teleop44.4
End2.7
red by 10.2
484
#4
55.80.6
56.555.9
Auto17.2
Teleop32.9
End5.7
Third
23.60.1
23.423.3
Auto7.2
Teleop13.7
End2.8
blue by 0.3
4099
#28
24.00.6
24.724.1
Auto5.7
Teleop17.4
End1.0