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Red48
55532.6
56247.9
457318.4
Blue49
465219.1
436119.4
127922.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions596802040801001201404849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+1Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +1
8Coral scored#8
28Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
38Total teleop37
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
48Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
555
#9
32.61.3
23.722.4
Auto8.9
Teleop20.3
End3.4
red by 9.8
1279
#10
22.81.9
22.720.7
Auto5.0
Teleop16.0
End1.8
Second
4573
#26
18.41.3
19.017.7
Auto4.5
Teleop12.6
End1.3
blue by 1.0
19.41.9
20.518.6
Auto4.3
Teleop9.1
End5.9
Third
5624
#33DQ
7.91.3
11.710.4
Auto1.2
Teleop6.7
End0.1
blue by 11.2
4652
#28
19.11.9
17.215.3
Auto3.2
Teleop16.0
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed