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Qual 132025 FMA District Mount Olive Event
Red65
599225.4
811725.1
334017.4
Blue101
10342.8
851344.9
5632.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4810002040608012014065101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+38
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave9
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
12Total auto18
TeleoperatedBlue +32
8Coral scored#14
29Coral points51
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#6
12Processor points6
8Net points24
20Algae points30
49Total teleop81
Reef
3L4#7
3L3#5
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points0
65Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5992
#21
25.41.2
14.8→16.0
Auto3.2
Teleop21.8
End0.5
blue by 19.5
8513
#2
44.91.1
26.5→27.6
Auto9.3
Teleop29.8
End5.8
Second
8117
#13
25.11.2
20.6→21.8
Auto4.2
Teleop19.9
End1.0
blue by 17.7
103
#4
42.81.1
38.2→39.3
Auto5.6
Teleop34.4
End2.8
Third
3340
#20
17.41.2
13.5→14.7
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End1.5
blue by 15.2
56
#14
32.61.1
20.1→21.3
Auto5.7
Teleop27.1
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsMissed