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Red90
436119.4
465325.9
363732.6
Blue61
162619.0
858818.3
334017.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70490204060801001209061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+19Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +12
10Coral scored#8
36Coral points28
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
0Processor points0
12Net points8
12Algae points8
48Total teleop36
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
90Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3637
#12
32.62.0
24.126.1
Auto4.9
Teleop22.1
End5.6
red by 13.6
1626
#32
19.00.4
16.416.8
Auto4.3
Teleop13.1
End1.6
Second
25.92.0
21.323.2
Auto7.7
Teleop13.7
End4.5
red by 7.6
8588
#25
18.30.4
14.314.8
Auto4.7
Teleop11.5
End2.1
Third
19.42.0
16.017.9
Auto4.3
Teleop9.1
End5.9
red by 2.0
3340
#20
17.40.4
14.715.2
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsEarned