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Qual 202025 FMA District Mount Olive Event
Red33
1036611.2
22328.2
599225.4
Blue64
69457.0
851344.9
257715.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4056020801001203364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+9
Endgame+13
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +1
6Coral scored#5
21Coral points18
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
0Processor points6
4Net points0
4Algae points6
25Total teleop24
Reef
2L4#2
3L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points18
33Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223
#11
28.20.6
16.3→15.7
Auto4.9
Teleop19.3
End4.0
blue by 16.7
8513
#2
44.90.4
27.6→27.2
Auto9.3
Teleop29.8
End5.8
Second
5992
#21
25.40.6
16.0→15.4
Auto3.2
Teleop21.8
End0.5
red by 10.3
2577
#24
15.10.4
14.5→14.1
Auto4.2
Teleop10.6
End0.3
Third
10366
#35
11.20.6
6.3→5.7
Auto1.3
Teleop7.7
End2.2
red by 4.1
6945
#22
7.00.4
7.9→7.4
Auto2.5
Teleop3.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed