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Red72
465219.1
314245.9
Blue19
162619.0
686014.3
60169.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions693802060801001207219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+51Teleop
+53Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +41
10Coral scored#3
36Coral points9
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
50Total teleop9
Reef
4L4#1
3L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points0
72Total score19

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.91.4
32.934.3
Auto9.4
Teleop31.9
End4.6
red by 26.8
1626
#32
19.02.1
16.814.7
Auto4.3
Teleop13.1
End1.6
Second
4652
#28
19.11.4
15.316.7
Auto3.2
Teleop16.0
End-0.2
red by 4.8
6860
#17
14.32.1
10.28.1
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End2.0
Third
8.21.4
11.312.6
Auto1.6
Teleop4.1
End2.5
blue by 1.2
6016
#30
9.42.1
10.88.7
Auto0.9
Teleop6.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed