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Qual 232025 FMA District Mount Olive Event
Red27
56247.9
167225.8
811725.1
Blue68
363732.6
5632.6
457318.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5474204060801001202768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+29
Endgame+41
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +12
0Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points12
3Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +17
4Coral scored#5
16Coral points17
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
0Processor points12
4Net points8
4Algae points20
20Total teleop37
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#2
0L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points0
27Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1672
#5
25.82.7
19.2→16.5
Auto4.8
Teleop18.3
End2.7
blue by 6.8
3637
#12
32.60.3
26.1→26.4
Auto4.9
Teleop22.1
End5.6
Second
8117
#13
25.12.7
21.8→19.1
Auto4.2
Teleop19.9
End1.0
blue by 7.5
56
#14
32.60.3
21.3→21.6
Auto5.7
Teleop27.1
End-0.3
Third
5624
#33
7.92.7
10.4→7.7
Auto1.2
Teleop6.7
End0.1
blue by 10.4
4573
#26
18.40.3
17.7→18.0
Auto4.5
Teleop12.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned