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Qual 242025 FMA District Mount Olive Event
Red95
21925.2
10342.8
1036611.2
Blue181
1153.6
465325.9
807510.9
80%Model gave it20%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79585010015095181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+32
Endgame+32
Fouls+86
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave9
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points21
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +8
10Coral scored#12
35Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
49Total teleop57
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +86
24Foul points78
95Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#4
42.80.0
40.6→40.6
Auto5.6
Teleop34.4
End2.8
blue by 10.8
11
#1
53.65.3
32.4→37.7
Auto10.1
Teleop35.3
End8.3
Second
219
#16
25.20.0
24.5→24.5
Auto3.8
Teleop16.3
End5.1
blue by 0.7
4653
#8
25.95.3
22.5→27.8
Auto7.7
Teleop13.7
End4.5
Third
10366
#35
11.20.0
5.7→5.7
Auto1.3
Teleop7.7
End2.2
red by 0.3
8075
#15
10.95.3
0.6→5.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsEarned