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Red63
257715.1
901540.1
862813.3
Blue58
43016.0
851344.9
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4156020806358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+7Teleop
+7Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave0
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points19
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +17
10Coral scored#5
36Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
46Total teleop29
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#3
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
4Foul points6
63Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.12.0
21.523.5
Auto9.9
Teleop28.8
End1.4
blue by 4.8
44.90.1
27.227.3
Auto9.3
Teleop29.8
End5.8
Second
2577
#24
15.12.0
14.116.1
Auto4.2
Teleop10.6
End0.3
blue by 0.8
430
#29
16.00.1
11.511.6
Auto4.0
Teleop10.7
End1.3
Third
8628
#19
13.32.0
5.57.5
Auto2.6
Teleop9.3
End1.4
red by 5.2
8.20.1
12.612.7
Auto1.6
Teleop4.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed