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Red61
162619.0
19325.4
465219.1
Blue76
167225.8
334017.4
55532.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51592040801006176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+5
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +2
9Coral scored#8
34Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
48Total teleop46
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
61Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193
#27
25.40.8
16.417.2
Auto3.9
Teleop20.2
End1.3
blue by 7.2
555
#9
32.62.1
20.222.3
Auto8.9
Teleop20.3
End3.4
Second
4652
#28
19.10.8
16.717.5
Auto3.2
Teleop16.0
End-0.2
blue by 6.7
25.82.1
16.518.6
Auto4.8
Teleop18.3
End2.7
Third
1626
#32
19.00.8
14.715.6
Auto4.3
Teleop13.1
End1.6
red by 1.7
3340
#20
17.42.1
15.217.2
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned