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Qual 292025 FMA District Mount Olive Event
Red75
56247.9
5632.6
314245.9
Blue79
100699.3
599225.4
363732.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions705602040801001207579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+6Teleop
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +9
15Coral scored#11
55Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
65Total teleop56
Reef
7L4#5
3L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
75Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3142
#6
45.90.9
34.3→35.3
Auto9.4
Teleop31.9
End4.6
red by 13.3
3637
#12
32.62.7
26.4→29.1
Auto4.9
Teleop22.1
End5.6
Second
56
#14
32.60.9
21.6→22.5
Auto5.7
Teleop27.1
End-0.3
red by 7.1
5992
#21
25.42.7
15.4→18.1
Auto3.2
Teleop21.8
End0.5
Third
5624
#33
7.90.9
7.7→8.6
Auto1.2
Teleop6.7
End0.1
blue by 1.4
10069
#34
9.32.7
10.5→13.2
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned