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Red48
858818.3
436119.4
4116.1
Blue94
127922.8
69457.0
1153.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46740204060801001201404894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+46
Endgame+32
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave6
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points17
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +35
4Coral scored#10
14Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
6Processor points6
0Net points12
6Algae points18
20Total teleop55
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#17
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points14
48Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.40.2
17.918.2
Auto4.3
Teleop9.1
End5.9
blue by 34.2
11
#1
53.61.6
37.739.3
Auto10.1
Teleop35.3
End8.3
Second
8588
#25
18.30.2
14.815.0
Auto4.7
Teleop11.5
End2.1
blue by 4.5
1279
#10
22.81.6
18.219.8
Auto5.0
Teleop16.0
End1.8
Third
41
#23
16.10.2
10.110.4
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End2.4
red by 9.1
6945
#22
7.01.6
7.49.0
Auto2.5
Teleop3.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
8%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed