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Red72
127922.8
314245.9
167225.8
Blue119
10342.8
1153.6
811725.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7910520406012014016072119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+23
Fouls+47
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points7
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +19
10Coral scored#13
36Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
46Total teleop65
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points24
72Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.90.3
28.928.6
Auto9.4
Teleop31.9
End4.6
blue by 7.7
11
#1
53.60.3
29.629.8
Auto10.1
Teleop35.3
End8.3
Second
25.80.3
19.319.0
Auto4.8
Teleop18.3
End2.7
blue by 17.0
103
#4
42.80.3
38.638.9
Auto5.6
Teleop34.4
End2.8
Third
1279
#10
22.80.3
23.623.3
Auto5.0
Teleop16.0
End1.8
blue by 2.3
8117
#13
25.10.3
21.421.6
Auto4.2
Teleop19.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned