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Qual 42025 FMA District Mount Olive Event
Red11
43016.0
862813.3
599225.4
Blue53
465325.9
257715.1
465219.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6967204060801001201153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+38
Endgame+42
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
3Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +25
2Coral scored#5
6Coral points17
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
6Total teleop31
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#3
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#2
2Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points0
11Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5992
#21
25.45.2
22.4→17.2
Auto3.2
Teleop21.8
End0.5
blue by 0.5
4653
#8
25.91.0
22.9→22.0
Auto7.7
Teleop13.7
End4.5
Second
430
#29
16.014.2
26.8→12.6
Auto4.0
Teleop10.7
End1.3
blue by 3.2
4652
#28
19.11.0
18.2→17.2
Auto3.2
Teleop16.0
End-0.2
Third
8628
#19
13.35.2
17.5→12.3
Auto2.6
Teleop9.3
End1.4
blue by 1.8
2577
#24
15.11.0
20.5→19.5
Auto4.2
Teleop10.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed