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Qual 352025 FMA District Mount Olive Event
Red43
21925.2
106008.2
69457.0
Blue83
5632.6
55532.6
127922.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions437302060801001204383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+54
Endgame+44
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +51
4Coral scored#9
13Coral points34
0Processor algae#3
1Net algae#4
0Processor points18
4Net points16
4Algae points34
17Total teleop68
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#2
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
6Foul points2
43Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
219
#16
25.20.8
22.7→21.9
Auto3.8
Teleop16.3
End5.1
blue by 7.4
555
#9
32.61.8
22.3→24.1
Auto8.9
Teleop20.3
End3.4
Second
10600
#31
8.20.8
12.7→11.9
Auto1.6
Teleop4.1
End2.5
blue by 24.4
56
#14
32.61.8
22.5→24.4
Auto5.7
Teleop27.1
End-0.3
Third
6945
#22
7.00.8
9.0→8.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.1
End1.5
blue by 15.8
1279
#10
22.81.8
19.8→21.6
Auto5.0
Teleop16.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed