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Red52
811725.1
127922.8
686014.3
Blue46
21925.2
257715.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60603040507080901005246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+2
Endgame+2
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +5
6Coral scored#4
21Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
6Processor points0
4Net points12
10Algae points12
31Total teleop26
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
8Foul points0
52Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8117
#13
25.12.1
19.417.3
Auto4.2
Teleop19.9
End1.0
blue by 0.1
219
#16
25.21.6
21.920.2
Auto3.8
Teleop16.3
End5.1
Second
1279
#10
22.82.1
21.619.5
Auto5.0
Teleop16.0
End1.8
red by 7.7
2577
#24
15.11.6
17.415.8
Auto4.2
Teleop10.6
End0.3
Third
6860
#17
14.32.1
15.913.8
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End2.0
red by 5.0
9.31.6
16.214.6
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsMissed