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Red134
60169.4
1153.6
851344.9
Blue32
465325.9
56247.9
162619.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82550204010012014013432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+66Teleop
+76Endgame
+102Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +73
19Coral scored#3
68Coral points11
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
12Processor points0
8Net points4
20Algae points4
88Total teleop15
Reef
7L4#2
6L3#1
5L2#0
2L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#5
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +102
26Foul points0
134Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#1
53.64.1
42.346.4
Auto10.1
Teleop35.3
End8.3
red by 27.7
25.92.1
23.821.7
Auto7.7
Teleop13.7
End4.5
Second
44.94.1
25.629.7
Auto9.3
Teleop29.8
End5.8
red by 25.9
1626
#32
19.02.1
16.013.9
Auto4.3
Teleop13.1
End1.6
Third
6016
#30
9.44.1
2.97.0
Auto0.9
Teleop6.5
End2.0
red by 1.4
5624
#33
7.92.1
10.98.8
Auto1.2
Teleop6.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed