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Qual 402025 FMA District Mount Olive Event
Red69
5632.6
465219.1
862813.3
Blue130
4116.1
901540.1
22328.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5063020408010012069130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+5
Endgame+7
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points19
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +5
11Coral scored#9
40Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
54Total teleop49
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
6Cage & park8
6Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points54
69Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#14
32.62.3
24.4→26.6
Auto5.7
Teleop27.1
End-0.3
blue by 7.5
9015
#3
40.11.9
25.0→26.9
Auto9.9
Teleop28.8
End1.4
Second
4652
#28
19.12.3
15.9→18.2
Auto3.2
Teleop16.0
End-0.2
blue by 9.1
223
#11
28.21.9
22.9→24.8
Auto4.9
Teleop19.3
End4.0
Third
8628
#19
13.32.3
8.4→10.6
Auto2.6
Teleop9.3
End1.4
blue by 2.8
41
#23
16.11.9
10.7→12.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed