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Red112
314245.9
807510.9
22237.1
Blue117
858818.3
55532.6
1153.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81964060120140112117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+11
+1Endgame
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave3
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points23
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +1
14Coral scored#13
50Coral points45
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#2
12Processor points18
8Net points8
20Algae points26
70Total teleop71
Reef
5L4#8
6L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points6
112Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.93.3
35.638.9
Auto9.4
Teleop31.9
End4.6
blue by 7.7
11
#1
53.62.0
46.448.4
Auto10.1
Teleop35.3
End8.3
Second
222
#18
37.13.3
35.038.3
Auto4.3
Teleop25.8
End6.9
red by 4.5
555
#9
32.62.1
24.126.2
Auto8.9
Teleop20.3
End3.4
Third
8075
#15
10.93.3
5.79.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End2.3
blue by 7.4
8588
#25
18.32.1
16.418.5
Auto4.7
Teleop11.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned