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Red31
1036611.2
465325.9
Blue56
686014.3
436119.4
10342.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4484020601001201403156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+25
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
10Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +19
3Coral scored#6
9Coral points22
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
17Total teleop36
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
31Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.91.9
21.719.8
Auto7.7
Teleop13.7
End4.5
blue by 16.9
103
#4
42.82.1
39.137.1
Auto5.6
Teleop34.4
End2.8
Second
11.21.9
6.84.9
Auto1.3
Teleop7.7
End2.2
blue by 8.2
19.42.1
17.815.7
Auto4.3
Teleop9.1
End5.9
Third
9.31.9
14.612.7
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End0.4
blue by 5.0
6860
#17
14.32.1
13.811.8
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed