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Red78
4116.1
56247.9
851344.9
Blue66
334017.4
465219.1
21925.2
42%Model gave it58%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5658404550606570757866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+6Teleop
+18Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points9
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +5
6Coral scored#9
22Coral points33
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#4
6Processor points0
16Net points16
22Algae points16
44Total teleop49
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#2
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points6
78Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.92.8
29.732.5
Auto9.3
Teleop29.8
End5.8
red by 19.7
219
#16
25.21.0
20.221.2
Auto3.8
Teleop16.3
End5.1
Second
41
#23
16.12.8
12.715.4
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End2.4
blue by 3.0
4652
#28
19.11.0
18.219.1
Auto3.2
Teleop16.0
End-0.2
Third
5624
#33
7.92.8
8.811.6
Auto1.2
Teleop6.7
End0.1
blue by 9.5
3340
#20
17.41.0
12.413.4
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed