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Red53
127922.8
862813.3
858818.3
Blue109
55532.6
363732.6
22328.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions489102040608010012014016053109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+42
Endgame+44
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave6
3Coral scored#4
15Coral points20
15Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +31
7Coral scored#12
24Coral points43
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
0Processor points12
8Net points8
8Algae points20
32Total teleop63
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
12Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
6Cage & park8
6Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points12
53Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1279
#10
22.80.5
19.519.9
Auto5.0
Teleop16.0
End1.8
blue by 9.8
3637
#12
32.62.0
27.029.0
Auto4.9
Teleop22.1
End5.6
Second
8588
#25
18.30.5
18.518.9
Auto4.7
Teleop11.5
End2.1
blue by 14.3
555
#9
32.62.0
26.228.2
Auto8.9
Teleop20.3
End3.4
Third
8628
#19
13.30.5
10.611.1
Auto2.6
Teleop9.3
End1.4
blue by 14.9
223
#11
28.22.0
24.826.8
Auto4.9
Teleop19.3
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed69%Barge oddsMissed