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Qual 452025 FMA District Mount Olive Event
Red70
257715.1
22237.1
106008.2
Blue72
19325.4
167225.8
5632.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7171506080901007072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+18
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +18
8Coral scored#10
29Coral points35
0Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
0Processor points12
16Net points16
16Algae points28
45Total teleop63
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#16
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
70Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#18
37.10.5
38.3→38.8
Auto4.3
Teleop25.8
End6.9
red by 4.5
56
#14
32.60.7
26.6→27.3
Auto5.7
Teleop27.1
End-0.3
Second
2577
#24
15.10.5
15.8→16.3
Auto4.2
Teleop10.6
End0.3
blue by 10.7
1672
#5
25.80.7
19.0→19.8
Auto4.8
Teleop18.3
End2.7
Third
10600
#31
8.20.5
11.0→11.5
Auto1.6
Teleop4.1
End2.5
blue by 17.2
193
#27
25.40.7
19.4→20.1
Auto3.9
Teleop20.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed