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Qual 542025 FMA District Mount Olive Event
Red61
60169.4
69457.0
22237.1
Blue101
862813.3
363732.6
10342.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5987020408010012014061101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+54
Endgame+46
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +44
6Coral scored#16
23Coral points59
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
0Processor points12
12Net points8
12Algae points20
35Total teleop79
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#5
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#23
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
6Foul points0
61Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#18
37.10.1
39.6→39.5
Auto4.3
Teleop25.8
End6.9
blue by 5.7
103
#4
42.82.3
37.8→40.1
Auto5.6
Teleop34.4
End2.8
Second
6016
#30
9.40.1
9.3→9.2
Auto0.9
Teleop6.5
End2.0
blue by 23.2
3637
#12
32.62.3
27.9→30.2
Auto4.9
Teleop22.1
End5.6
Third
6945
#22
7.00.1
7.7→7.5
Auto2.5
Teleop3.1
End1.5
blue by 6.3
8628
#19
13.32.3
9.2→11.5
Auto2.6
Teleop9.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsMissed