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Red119
19325.4
851344.9
21925.2
Blue122
314245.9
55532.6
465325.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions791034060120140160119122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+3
Endgame+1
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points24
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +4
16Coral scored#16
56Coral points58
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
80Total teleop76
Reef
5L4#9
8L3#4
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points2
119Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.93.8
35.038.8
Auto9.3
Teleop29.8
End5.8
blue by 1.0
45.92.7
42.345.0
Auto9.4
Teleop31.9
End4.6
Second
193
#27
25.44.1
20.124.2
Auto3.9
Teleop20.2
End1.3
blue by 7.2
555
#9
32.62.5
27.630.1
Auto8.9
Teleop20.3
End3.4
Third
219
#16
25.24.1
21.225.3
Auto3.8
Teleop16.3
End5.1
blue by 0.7
25.92.5
22.424.8
Auto7.7
Teleop13.7
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsEarned