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Red56
858818.3
5632.6
807510.9
Blue75
43016.0
465219.1
686014.3
73%Model gave it27%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6443020801001201405675

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+7
Fouls+19
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +9
7Coral scored#9
26Coral points33
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
0Processor points6
12Net points8
12Algae points14
38Total teleop47
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points12
56Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#14
32.60.1
27.327.4
Auto5.7
Teleop27.1
End-0.3
red by 13.5
4652
#28
19.12.1
19.121.2
Auto3.2
Teleop16.0
End-0.2
Second
8588
#25
18.30.1
18.919.0
Auto4.7
Teleop11.5
End2.1
red by 2.3
430
#29
16.02.1
10.012.1
Auto4.0
Teleop10.7
End1.3
Third
8075
#15
10.90.1
8.88.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End2.3
blue by 3.4
6860
#17
14.32.1
11.813.9
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed4%Barge oddsMissed