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Red74
334017.4
22237.1
1036611.2
Blue118
60169.4
127922.8
599225.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions675202040608010012074118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+10
Endgame+10
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +7
12Coral scored#12
43Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
57Total teleop64
Reef
3L4#5
4L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
2Foul points36
74Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#18
37.10.9
38.839.6
Auto4.3
Teleop25.8
End6.9
red by 11.6
5992
#21
25.42.9
20.223.1
Auto3.2
Teleop21.8
End0.5
Second
3340
#20
17.40.9
13.414.2
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End1.5
blue by 5.5
1279
#10
22.82.9
19.922.9
Auto5.0
Teleop16.0
End1.8
Third
11.20.9
4.95.8
Auto1.3
Teleop7.7
End2.2
red by 1.8
6016
#30
9.42.9
6.49.3
Auto0.9
Teleop6.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed15%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed