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Red49
811725.1
457318.4
Blue130
1153.6
162619.0
901540.1
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54110010015049130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+69
Endgame+81
Fouls+81
AutonomousBlue +27
3Leave0
1Coral scored#7
3Coral points33
6Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +42
8Coral scored#17
29Coral points61
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
43Total teleop85
Reef
3L4#8
3L3#7
2L2#7
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +12
0Cage & park12
0Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +81
0Foul points0
49Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8117
#13
25.10.6
20.720.1
Auto4.2
Teleop19.9
End1.0
blue by 28.5
11
#1
53.62.5
48.450.9
Auto10.1
Teleop35.3
End8.3
Second
4573
#26
18.40.6
18.517.9
Auto4.5
Teleop12.6
End1.3
blue by 21.7
40.12.5
30.332.8
Auto9.9
Teleop28.8
End1.4
Third
9.30.6
12.712.2
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End0.4
blue by 9.7
1626
#32
19.02.5
13.816.3
Auto4.3
Teleop13.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsMissed